1 (edited by tenetnosce 2006-07-28 11:46:31)

Topic: Housing Bubble Pops

According to the National Association of Realtors, since last June:

1.  Sales dropped almost 9%.

2.  Inventory rose 39% to its highest level in almost 10 years.

3.  Median condo prices dropped 2.1%.

With the Consumer Price Index up 4.3% in June, that means the average home (up nominally in June) has actually lost about 3.4% of its value.

In a curious twist of paradox, my old landlord, a local real estate agent, with a wife, four kids, and four mortages (two on each house) decided to put a new deck on his rental, and raise the price of the home by a few thousand dollars in June!  Anybody wanna buy it??

It is not for us to understand love, but simply to make space for it.

Re: Housing Bubble Pops

Maybe he can sell it or maybe not.  What worked before may not work now.  You know he has four mortgages?  He must have confided in you, when (as very recently) it was a sign of coolness to be able to qualify for huge mortgages.

I am not sure what realtors will do if they have to pay mortgages.  There are almost no sales now in my area in the northeast. 

As it happens I have been house shopping recently.  And a good half of the realtors are acting very tough, pretending there are competing bids on a property when there aren't, etc.  You have to just assume there's never a competing bid these days, and it's possible you would lose a property that way, but all 3 (!) times we just said "ok, let them have it" and the realtor came back to us eventually with some story about how the other bid didn't really materialize.  As it happens, we have backed away from further interest on all 3 houses, and they are all still for sale.

There's one other house where our bid was rejected, then later it seems a higher legit bid apparently came along and was accepted.  Good for them!  But in this case the realtor was very respectable, actually I wouldn't mind working with her after this experience.

Maybe the others think that the only way to sell a house these days is with trickery.  If they do, who am I to say they're wrong?  I doubt I would be a very successful realtor, so I can't tell them their business.